Slow Shift to Skills — from the-job.beehiiv.com by Paul Fain
Gains in nondegree hiring aren’t happening at scale yet, even in Texas.
Real progress in efforts to increase mobility for nondegree workers is unlikely during the next couple years, Joseph Fuller, a professor at Harvard University’s business school who co-leads its Managing the Future of Work initiative, recently told me.
Yet Fuller is bullish on skills-based hiring becoming a real thing in five to 10 years. That’s because he predicts that AI will create the data to solve the skills taxonomy problem Kolko describes. And if skills-based hiring allows for serious movement for workers without bachelor’s degrees, Fuller says the future will look like where Texas is headed.
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Beyond coding, Altman said he’s most excited about the productivity improvement curve for healthcare and education.
Even so, AI’s likely disruption to jobs isn’t following the pattern envisioned by most experts..
“The consensus prediction, if we rewind seven or 10 years, was that the impact was going to be blue-collar work first, white-collar work second, creativity maybe never, but certainly last, because that was magic and human,” Altman said. “Obviously, it’s gone exactly the other direction.”
From DSC:
Altman is most excited about productivity improvements in coding, healthcare, and education. Nice to see healthcare and education making that list.
AI will create the data to solve the skills taxonomy problem — i.e., skills and competencies will be better matched with positions/jobs.