The 2031 Crisis in Higher Education: a stark scenario — from bryanalexander.org by Bryan Alexander — with commentary on a posting by Matthew F. Wilson, Ph.D.
Today’s post is about a scenario for higher ed’s future. It’s not from me, but created by one Matthew F. Wilson, director of Research Translation and AI Strategy at Baylor’s Institute for Global Human Flourishing. “The 2031 Crisis in Higher Education” is a dark one, imagining an accelerating decline for American colleges and universities.
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One key assumption of this scenario is that most colleges and universities will be unable to redesign themselves for the changing time.
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All of that said, it’s a fascinating and daunting scenario. It’s an interesting vision of my post-peak higher ed world.
A graphic from Matthew Wilson:
From DSC:
From what I can tell and have read, the things in the above graphic are already happening — and have been happening for some time now.
Also, I don’t think traditional institutions of higher education have the culture(s) it takes to change. So that part about colleges and U’s not being able to redesign themselves for the changing times could easily turn out to be the case.