{"id":15596,"date":"2011-03-09T15:31:46","date_gmt":"2011-03-09T20:31:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/?p=15596"},"modified":"2011-03-11T09:00:23","modified_gmt":"2011-03-11T14:00:23","slug":"great-assignment-for-a-macroeconomics-class-or-an-international-business-course-and-perhaps-a-warning-to-the-rest-of-us-not-sure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/2011\/03\/09\/great-assignment-for-a-macroeconomics-class-or-an-international-business-course-and-perhaps-a-warning-to-the-rest-of-us-not-sure\/","title":{"rendered":"Great assignment for a macroeconomics class or an international business course! And perhaps a warning to the rest of us&#8230;not sure."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">From DSC:<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">On February 24th, I saw this piece at Forbes.com &#8212; &gt;<\/span> <a title=\"USA Inc. -- Mary Meeker\u2019s Deep Dive Into The Federal Budget \" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.forbes.com\/ericsavitz\/2011\/02\/24\/usa-inc-mary-meekers-deep-dive-into-the-federal-budget\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>USA Inc.: Mary Meeker\u2019s Deep Dive Into The Federal Budget <\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Excerpt:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">&#8220;By the standards of any public corporation, USA Inc.\u2019s financials are  discouraging,\u201d<\/span><\/strong> she writes in an introduction to the report. \u201cTrue, USA  Inc. has many fundamental strengths. On an operating basis (excluding  Medicare and Medicaid spending and one-time charges, the federal  government\u2019s profit and loss statement is solid, with a 4% median net  margin over the last 15 years. But cash flow is deep in the red (by  almost $1.3 trillion last year, or ~$11,000 per household) and USA  Inc.\u2019s net worth is negative and deteriorating. That net worth figure  includes the present value of unfunded entitlement liabilities but not  hard-to-value assets such as natural resources, the power to tax or mint  currency, or what Treasury calls \u2018heritage\u2019 or \u2019stewardship assets\u2019  like National Parks. <span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>Nevertheless, the trends are clear, and critical  warning signs are evident in nearly every data point we examine.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">She points out that Congressional Budget Office data suggests that<strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\"> by  2025 all of the government\u2019s income will go to entitlement spending and  interest payments, leaving nothing for any other expenditures.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>From DSC:<\/strong><em><br \/>\nThe day before, I had seen a video mentioned on TV.\u00a0 From the mentioned URL, I checked the majority of it out. It made me ask, <strong>&#8220;Is this for real!!!???&#8221;<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><em><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/hillbuzz.org\/2011\/01\/22\/stansberry-associates-investment-research-presentation-scam-do-not-fall-for-this\/\" target=\"_blank\">Most likely it is just a sales pitch.<\/a> But the underlying concept of the growing national U.S. debt is not a joke &#8212; and, if not reversed, could have a serious affect on global economies.<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><em> <\/em><strong>As I don&#8217;t know, <\/strong><\/span><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">I&#8217;m seeking input\/feedback from any and all economists out there!<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><em> If what he is saying is even remotely true, the financial aftershocks will be felt throughout the world. Below are my reflections\/questions on that potentially-very-important topic\/perspective.<br \/>\n<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong> <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">I&#8217;m not sure what I think about a\u00a0video that I ran across the other day.  I&#8217;m referring to a video done by\u00a0Porter Stansbury, founder of<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.stansberryresearch.com\/\">Stansberry &amp; Associates Investment  Research<\/a><span style=\"color: #800000;\">. I\u00a0saw the URL posted on a cable TV station, referencing a URL\/video at:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"http:\/\/endofamerica2011.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>EndOfAmerica2011.com<\/strong><\/a><em><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">Note:\u00a0 This video is a long video, running 1:17:41; <\/span><\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.stansberryresearch.com\/pro\/1011PSIEND49\/PPSILC42\/PR\" target=\"_blank\">a transcript  of the video is provided here<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.endofamerica2011.com\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/endofamerica2011.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-16262\" title=\"EndOfAmericaFinancialPresentation-March2011\" src=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/EndOfAmericaFinancialPresentation-March20111.jpg\" border=\"0\" alt=\"End of America 2011 Video\" width=\"488\" height=\"349\" srcset=\"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/EndOfAmericaFinancialPresentation-March20111.jpg 488w, https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/EndOfAmericaFinancialPresentation-March20111-150x107.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 488px) 100vw, 488px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">While I&#8217;m not big on the latter part of the video\/piece where he pitches some potential investing solutions and reports,<strong><em> (<\/em><em>and, NOTE: I do not mean to endorse any strategy he may be talking about nor is this posting meant to get into investment strategies or advice!)<\/em><\/strong> <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">I studied Economics at Northwestern years ago and several things this gentleman says in this video seemed within reason\/feasible. Also, I have  heard\u00a0a variety of economists (here in the United States) through the years voicing\u00a0their concerns about the enormity of the  growing level of federal debt and the amount of our debt being owned by other countries.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">(As an aside, people don&#8217;t like to hear bad news and we don&#8217;t vote the rare politicians into office who actually stand up and tell us what we <em>really <\/em>need to do to fix whatever mess we were\/are in. I&#8217;ve noticed that in the world of higher education, many don&#8217;t like to hear news of the disruptions already underway either.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>Spiritually speaking, America\u00a0has pushed the LORD out of the public  square for so long, that it wouldn&#8217;t surprise me at all to see our  nation\u00a0continue its steep and rapid decline.<\/strong> Throughout history, nations have come and gone&#8230;risen and fallen&#8230;why should we be any different?\u00a0 (Blessed is the nation whose God is the LORD&#8230;<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.biblegateway.com\/passage\/?search=Psalm+33:12&amp;version=NIV\" target=\"_blank\">Psalm 33:12<\/a><span style=\"color: #800000;\"> &#8212; and conversely&#8230;)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">By way of a quick piece of research I did &#8212;<\/span> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thedailycrux.com\/content\/6980\/End_of_America\/mpsa\">this page on  their website <\/a><span style=\"color: #800000;\">claims\u00a0that the total outstanding debt of the U.S. Federal  government is $14.131 trillion &#8212;\u00a0which appears to be true:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.treasurydirect.gov\/NP\/BPDLogin?application=np\"><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.treasurydirect.gov\/NP\/BPDLogin?application=np\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-16266\" title=\"USFederalDebt-2-24and3-8-11\" src=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/USFederalDebt-2-24and3-8-11.jpg\" alt=\"Watch out!\" width=\"568\" height=\"419\" srcset=\"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/USFederalDebt-2-24and3-8-11.jpg 568w, https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/USFederalDebt-2-24and3-8-11-150x110.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 568px) 100vw, 568px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Questions:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Is this presentation for real?  Are the facts and figures accurate?<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Could these things occur? Are there grounds to his assertions\/predictions?\u00a0<em> <\/em><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Have these things happened to nations in the past? If so, under what conditions?<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Would some macroeconomics professor or an international business class review this video and get to the bottom of his arguments and assertions?!?<\/span><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>It&#8217;s very real world and students could work to try and pick  apart the various arguments\/assertions\/implications mentioned therein. Prove if this is a scam or not.<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Your thoughts on this anyone?<\/span><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Thanks!<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Daniel<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><br \/>\n<\/span><\/div>\n<div><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/gleonhard\/welcome-to-the-networked-society-gerd-leonhard-mwc-2011\" target=\"_blank\">P.S. Then I ran into this item from futurist Gerd Leonhard (2011; slide 9 of 23)<\/a><\/strong><\/div>\n<div><strong><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/gleonhard\/welcome-to-the-networked-society-gerd-leonhard-mwc-2011\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-15656\" title=\"NewNetworkCurrencies-GerdLeonhard-2011\" src=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/NewNetworkCurrencies-GerdLeonhard-2011.jpg\" border=\"0\" alt=\"New, network-based currencies -- from futurist Gerd Leonhard --2011\" width=\"608\" height=\"347\" srcset=\"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/NewNetworkCurrencies-GerdLeonhard-2011.jpg 608w, https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/NewNetworkCurrencies-GerdLeonhard-2011-150x85.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 608px) 100vw, 608px\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/gleonhard\/welcome-to-the-networked-society-gerd-leonhard-mwc-2011\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-15660\" title=\"GerdLeonhard-2011-WelcomeNetwSociety\" src=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/GerdLeonhard-2011-WelcomeNetwSociety.jpg\" border=\"0\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"408\" srcset=\"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/GerdLeonhard-2011-WelcomeNetwSociety.jpg 720w, https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/02\/GerdLeonhard-2011-WelcomeNetwSociety-150x85.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\">.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>3\/11\/11 addendum: <\/strong><\/span><br \/>\nAlso see <strong><a title=\"Permanent Link to Is America a Nation in Decline?\" rel=\"bookmark\" href=\"http:\/\/www.impactlab.net\/2011\/03\/11\/is-america-a-nation-in-decline\/\" target=\"_blank\">Is America a Nation in Decline?<\/a><\/strong> &#8212; from impactlab.net<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From DSC: On February 24th, I saw this piece at Forbes.com &#8212; &gt; USA Inc.: Mary Meeker\u2019s Deep Dive Into The Federal Budget Excerpt: &#8220;By the standards of any public corporation, USA Inc.\u2019s financials are discouraging,\u201d she writes in an introduction to the report. \u201cTrue, USA Inc. has many fundamental strengths. On an operating basis [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[387,112,159,72,306,425,35,95,419,330,321],"tags":[626,653,606,349,772,585,96,770,402,734,728],"class_list":["post-15596","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-business","category-corporate-business-world","category-dangers-of-the-status-quo","category-daniel-s-christian","category-economics","category-faith","category-game-changing-environment","category-global-globalization","category-ideas-teaching","category-political-science","category-united-states","tag-corporate-business-world","tag-dangers-of-the-status-quo","tag-daniel-s-christian","tag-economicsbusiness","tag-faith-wisdom","tag-game-changing-environment","tag-global","tag-ideas-teaching","tag-information-literacy","tag-political-science","tag-united-states"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15596","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15596"}],"version-history":[{"count":36,"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15596\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16269,"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15596\/revisions\/16269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15596"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15596"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15596"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}