{"id":99008,"date":"2026-08-10T14:43:57","date_gmt":"2026-08-10T18:43:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/?p=99008"},"modified":"2026-08-10T14:43:57","modified_gmt":"2026-08-10T18:43:57","slug":"the-2031-crisis-in-higher-education-a-stark-scenario-bryan-alexander","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/2026\/08\/10\/the-2031-crisis-in-higher-education-a-stark-scenario-bryan-alexander\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2031 Crisis in Higher Education: a stark scenario [Bryan Alexander]"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bryanalexander.org\/scenarios\/the-2031-crisis-in-higher-education-a-stark-scenario\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>The 2031 Crisis in Higher Education: a stark scenario<\/strong><\/a> &#8212; from bryanalexander.org by Bryan Alexander &#8212; with commentary on a posting by Matthew F. Wilson, Ph.D.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">Today\u2019s post is about\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.matthewfwilson.com\/research\/2031-higher-education-crisis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a scenario for higher ed\u2019s future<\/a>.\u00a0 It\u2019s not from me, but created by one Matthew F. Wilson, director of Research Translation and AI Strategy at Baylor\u2019s Institute for Global Human Flourishing.\u00a0 \u201cThe 2031 Crisis in Higher Education\u201d is a dark one, imagining an accelerating decline for American colleges and universities.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\nOne key assumption of this scenario is that most colleges and universities will be unable to redesign themselves for the changing time.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\nAll of that said, it\u2019s a fascinating and daunting scenario.\u00a0 It\u2019s an interesting vision of my post-<a href=\"https:\/\/peakhighered.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">peak higher ed<\/a>\u00a0world.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><em>A graphic from Matthew Wilson:<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.matthewfwilson.com\/research\/2031-higher-education-crisis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/bryanalexander.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Wilson-scenario-loop.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #800000;\">From DSC:<\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">From what I can tell and have read, the things in the above graphic are already happening &#8212; and have been happening for some time now. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Also, <strong>I don&#8217;t think traditional institutions of higher education have the culture(s) it takes to change.<\/strong> So that part about colleges and U&#8217;s not being able to redesign themselves for the changing times could easily turn out to be the case.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2031 Crisis in Higher Education: a stark scenario &#8212; from bryanalexander.org by Bryan Alexander &#8212; with commentary on a posting by Matthew F. Wilson, Ph.D. Today\u2019s post is about\u00a0a scenario for higher ed\u2019s future.\u00a0 It\u2019s not from me, but created by one Matthew F. Wilson, director of Research Translation and AI Strategy at Baylor\u2019s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[322,61,86,209,115,302,57,71,211,37,36,35,3,180,74,7,206,321,214],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-adjunct-faculty","category-business-side-of-he","category-change","category-changing-business-models","category-colleges","category-community-colleges","category-cost-of-getting-a-degree","category-faculty-staff","category-funding-grants","category-future","category-future-of-higher-education","category-game-changing-environment","category-higher-education","category-innovation","category-leadership","category-learning-ecosystem","category-trends","category-united-states","category-universities"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=99008"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99008\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":99011,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99008\/revisions\/99011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=99008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=99008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=99008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}