{"id":50928,"date":"2015-06-26T08:57:43","date_gmt":"2015-06-26T12:57:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/?p=50928"},"modified":"2015-06-26T14:22:48","modified_gmt":"2015-06-26T18:22:48","slug":"how-do-we-deal-w-an-exponential-pace-of-change-vs-a-normal-linear-curvesteady-pace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/2015\/06\/26\/how-do-we-deal-w-an-exponential-pace-of-change-vs-a-normal-linear-curvesteady-pace\/","title":{"rendered":"How do we deal w\/ an exponential pace of change (vs. a normal linear curve\/steady pace)?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><em>From DSC:<\/em><br \/>\nThe article below relates well to this graphic from sparks &amp; honey. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">NOTE:<br \/>\nHigher education is included in this discussion. If we think that we&#8217;re not included &#8212; and the other forces continue that are putting the heat in higher ed&#8217;s kitchen &#8212; it&#8217;s highly likely that <a href=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/2015\/05\/29\/alternatives-to-traditional-higher-ed-continue-to-develop\/\" target=\"_blank\">other forms and channels of learning will fill the voids and gaps in what people are looking for and are willing to pay for<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-45985\" src=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/ExponentialNotLinearSparksNHoney-Spring2013.jpg\" alt=\"ExponentialNotLinearSparksNHoney-Spring2013\" width=\"466\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/ExponentialNotLinearSparksNHoney-Spring2013.jpg 466w, http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/ExponentialNotLinearSparksNHoney-Spring2013-150x120.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 466px) 100vw, 466px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/workdesign.com\/2015\/06\/how-the-new-economy-is-changing-the-workplace-part-ii\/\" target=\"_blank\">How the new economy is changing the workplace, part II\u00a0<\/a><\/strong> &#8212; from workdesign.com by Bob Fox; also see <a href=\"http:\/\/workdesign.com\/2015\/06\/has-google-grown-old-how-the-new-economy-is-changing-the-workplace\/\" target=\"_blank\">part I<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/workdesign.com\/2015\/06\/how-the-new-economy-is-changing-the-workplace-part-iii\/\" target=\"_blank\">part III<\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Excerpts:<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">Change is a constant, but when the speed of change increases it becomes a much different animal. Incremental business improvements are much easier to manage, and are a necessary part of all businesses. We tend to think linearly, so disruptive change is the real risk. The challenge with disruptive change is that it is often unpredictable and it generally conflicts with the core competency of a business. What\u2019s more, it can come from other industries.<br \/>\n&#8230;<br \/>\nWhile disruptive change and innovation are likely the cause, it\u2019s the inability of most businesses to deal with or react to those challenges <em>over time<\/em> that\u2019s the death knell. We think tomorrow will be just like today, and we don\u2019t have the workspaces to effectively share, question, and iterate ideas and leverage innovation to sustain our organizations through tough challenges.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span style=\"color: #008000;\">There is a widespread human tendency, with which we are all of us familiar, that can be simply expressed as the \u201ckink\u201d in the curve where the past meets the future. The exponential line of human technological progress, long driven by information and for the past generation by the power of the chip, is kinked. It is kinked, inevitably, at the present. &#8212; Nigel Cameron<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">If I had told you 15 years ago that in the future you would have a device that you could carry in your pocket where you can get your mail, make a video call, carry thousands of your favorite songs, take pictures and videos and share them, check the stock market in real time, get the latest headlines immediately, get directions instantly to wherever you wanted to go, make a dinner or hotel reservation, invite your friends and that all of it would be essentially free, you would have thought I was some kind of nut. But look at us now.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #800000;\">From DSC:<\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #800000;\">For institutions of higher education, we need to be able to experiment&#8230;to fail&#8230;to succeed&#8230;.to iterate until we find out what&#8217;s working and what&#8217;s not working. We need more innovative cultures. We need more Trimtab Groups.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">For K-12 and higher education, we need to teach our kids how to run their own businesses&#8230;as it&#8217;s highly likely <a href=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/2015\/06\/16\/shocker-40-of-workers-now-have-contingent-jobs-says-u-s-government-plus-other-workforce-related-postings\/\" target=\"_blank\">they will be a part of the contingent workforce<\/a> at some point(s) in their lifetimes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-44303\" src=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/TheTrimtabInHigherEducation-DanielChristian.jpg\" alt=\"TheTrimtabInHigherEducation-DanielChristian\" width=\"409\" height=\"928\" srcset=\"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/TheTrimtabInHigherEducation-DanielChristian.jpg 409w, http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/TheTrimtabInHigherEducation-DanielChristian-66x150.jpg 66w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 409px) 100vw, 409px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Also related\/see:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.cisco.com\/ioe\/the-digital-vortex-where-disruption-is-constant-and-innovation-rules#more-172523\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>The Digital Vortex, where disruption is constant and innovation rules<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0&#8212; from blogs.cisco.com by Joseph Bradley<br \/>\n<em>Excerpt <span style=\"color: #800000;\">(emphasis DSC):<\/span><\/em><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"color: #800000;\">Given the breakneck pace of technology change<\/span>,<\/strong> business leaders can be forgiven for feeling as if they are living in a vortex. That\u2019s because, in many ways, they are.In a real vortex, rotational forces draw everything to the center, where objects collide and combine in unpredictable ways. To me, that sounds like business as usual in the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cisco.com\/c\/r\/en\/us\/internet-of-everything-ioe\/tomorrow-starts-here\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\">Internet of Everything (IoE<\/a>) era.The Digital Vortex is the inevitable movement of industries toward a \u201cdigital center\u201d in which business models, offerings, and value chains are digitized to the maximum extent possible. The result is \u201ccomponents\u201d that can be readily combined to create new disruptions that blur the lines between industries.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.cisco.com\/ioe\/the-digital-vortex-where-disruption-is-constant-and-innovation-rules#more-172523\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-172625 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.cisco.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Fig05_vortex_industries-copy-2-550x529.jpg\" alt=\"Digital Disruption by Industry. Source: Global Center for Digital Business Transformation, 2015\" width=\"420\" height=\"404\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The results help to clarify digital disruption and how business leaders view it. Here are some key findings:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>Disruption Looms\u2026<\/strong> Four of today\u2019s top 10 incumbents (in terms of market share) in each industry will be displaced by digital disruption in the next five years.<\/span> The threat extends not only to displacement of big companies, but also to the very existence of entire industries.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u2026As Executives \u201cWait and See.\u201d<\/strong> Digital disruption has not received board-level attention in about 45 percent of companies (on average across industries). Moreover, 43 percent of companies either do not acknowledge the risk of digital disruption, or have not addressed it sufficiently. Nearly a third are taking a \u201cwait and see\u201d approach. Only 25 percent describe their response to digital disruption as proactive.<\/li>\n<li><strong>In the Digital Vortex, No Safe Haven. <\/strong>The industry that will experience the most digital disruption between now and 2020 is technology products and services. Pharmaceuticals, meanwhile, is likely to experience the least amount of digital disruption. <span style=\"color: #800000;\">However, all industries will see competitive upheavals as innovations become increasingly exponential.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>Disrupt, or Be Disrupted.<\/strong><\/span> Based on their ranking and placement within the Digital Vortex, firms can evaluate the speed at which their industry will experience disruption. They then can choose to \u201cdisrupt themselves\u201d or potentially be displaced by a new business model.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From DSC: The article below relates well to this graphic from sparks &amp; honey. NOTE: Higher education is included in this discussion. If we think that we&#8217;re not included &#8212; and the other forces continue that are putting the heat in higher ed&#8217;s kitchen &#8212; it&#8217;s highly likely that other forms and channels of learning [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[113,86,209,112,159,72,143,210,237,533,3,419,180,74,245,431,44,20,460,206,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-21st-century","category-change","category-changing-business-models","category-corporate-business-world","category-dangers-of-the-status-quo","category-daniel-s-christian","category-disruption","category-emerging-technologies","category-entrepreneurship","category-experimentation","category-higher-education","category-ideas-teaching","category-innovation","category-leadership","category-mobile-technologies","category-organizational-change","category-pace-of-change","category-strategy","category-technology-general","category-trends","category-vision-possibilities"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50928","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50928"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50928\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50952,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50928\/revisions\/50952"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50928"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50928"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/danielschristian.com\/learning-ecosystems\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50928"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}